Uncertainty
Uncertainty and conflicting evidence
Unknowns and conflicts should not be hidden behind confident prose. They are part of the engineering result.
Authorial methodology
The methodology was developed by Oleksandr Koretskiy from long-term engineering, project and consulting practice and formalized for systematic analysis of technical, technological and business problems.
Knowledge states
— known / fact;
— client-provided;
— independently verified;
— inference;
— assumption;
— hypothesis;
— unknown;
— critical unknown.
Conditional conclusions
When a decision depends on an unverified parameter, the conclusion should state what can be said now, which condition must hold and which evidence would resolve the uncertainty.